July 27, 2006: We have recently created an area on the
UrbanSim website for users to contribute
and share scripts or utilities that they have found valuable
for running models, preparing data, visualizing indicators, etc.
Please visit that area and contribute if you have something you have
found helpful. (As of 7/2007, the user contributions area is now on the
download page of our trac wiki.)
UrbanSim
Version 4 and Opus Release Now Available
June 30, 2006: The UrbanSim team has been working since early
2005 on a complete re-design of UrbanSim
and a development of a new platform for it: the Open Platform for Urban
Simulation
(Opus).
Opus and UrbanSim 4 are now available for download.
We have been using Opus/UrbanSim
4 in our Puget Sound application of UrbanSim for a number of months,
and other
applications are underway as well. The upcoming UrbanSim
Users Group meeting will focus on Opus and UrbanSim 4,
particularly to help
existing UrbanSim 3 users to move to the new
platform.
Here are a few key features of the Opus platform and UrbanSim
4:
Python is the language for the
new implementation, making extensive use of numeric and
graphics libraries available for it.
Specification of choice models
is now very modular and can be changed easily.
Developer model has been
redesigned as a location choice model, and is much improved.
Geography for models can now
be modified easily. Don't like grid cells? Use
parcels, or neighborhoods, or traffic zones.
Estimation of models is now
integrated, with built-in methods to estimate discrete choice and
regression models.
Visualization of input data
and model results is now integrated, using libraries like Matplotlib
and OpenEV.
Run Management capabilities
have been developed to specify, submit, distribute and manage model
runs.
Second UrbanSim Users Group
Meeting
July 2006: The Second UrbanSim Users Group Meeting will be in
Seattle July 9-12,
2006. See our workshop
page for more
information (the workshop is full already, however). We will
make
materials from the workshop available online after the workshop as well.
NSF
Grant on Modeling Uncertainty
January 2006: The UrbanSim team received a new grant under the
National
Science Foundation Digital Government Program: "Modeling Uncertainty in
Land Use and Transportation
Policy Impacts: Statistical Methods, Computational Algorithms, and
Stakeholder
Interaction," Grant No. IIS-0534094.
There are two major research areas in the project.
One is in computational
statistics: developing, analyzing, and validating techniques for
representing and propagating uncertainty through a sophisticated
modeling
system. Our approach uses promising but preliminary results in Bayesian
melding. We propose to develop new statistical methods adapted to the
challenges posed by UrbanSim, which include model stochasticity, large
effects of measurement
and systematic errors, high dimension of model inputs and outputs, and
significant running time for the underlying model.
In addition to the statistical challenges, however, undertaking this
approach makes extreme computational demands; and achieving acceptable
performance will require algorithmic advances, as well as sound
software
engineering. The second major research area is in human
computer
interaction. Among the research challenges here are
supporting meaningful stakeholder access to and interaction with
complex simulations, including representations of
uncertainty. In addition
to presenting the results of UrbanSim simulations in useful ways to the
different stakeholders, we want to support stakeholders in being able
to explore and test
alternate scenarios (and the uncertainties around them), via a web
interface we call U-Build-It.